UPDATE: First Accumulation of the Season Expected Saturday

We're a little over 48 hours out from a clipper diving through the area Saturday and more than likely giving most of us our first coating of snow of the season. While I wouldn't expect this to be anything more than a light accumulation, the trends are bringing the low pressure further and further south with each model run. The further south that tracks, the higher our totals.

The latest NAM depicts a light snow across the area Saturday afternoon:

The scattered nature is what should keep totals low for Central Ohio, and further north it's a more solid distribution, leading to over an inch.

Speaking of totals, NWS Wilmington put this out this morning:

I think this is a good reference point for what the accumulation gradient should look like, but I don't think this forecast should be considered official just yet. Again, if that low pressure dives any further south, parts of Columbus could get closer to that 1-2" range.

I'll finalize my forecast tomorrow and post again then.