Slight Chance of Freezing Rain Tonight

There's been talk for several days of the chance of some freezing rain this weekend. I've held off talking about it because the chances have seemed small, and I've not seen an awful lot of support for a heavy icing event.

Now about 12 hours out I can say with confidence that tonight's ice event should mostly be a non-event. There's a couple reasons. First, we've been above freezing for about 24 hours now. By the time freezing rain possibly hits the area, temps will have been above freezing for over 36 hours. Now we've not been way above freezing, but considering we won't drop much lower than 30 degrees tonight, I don't think we'll have a super cooled surface to freeze our rain on contact.

Another reason would be that we're between the northern and southern stream of high moisture:

That doesn't mean we won't see any icing at all. You can see on the simulated radar that small showers could drop a quick couple hundredths of an inch over an hour, which may be enough to put just a very slight ice accumulation on elevated surfaces.

I also think Pickaway and Fairfield Counties will be more likely to see some icing because of their proximity to the southern stream of moisture. That's not great news for them since they got the brunt of our Wednesday ice, too.

Overall I think this will be a low impact event, but don't rule out some slick conditions tomorrow morning.