Monday, November 12, 2018

First Snow: DRY SLOTTED!

It's kind of a kick in the face that our first legitimate threat of snow this season will show us stuck in the dreaded dry slot. I've put off writing this entry all day because I wanted to see more runs of the high res models before deciding we're gonna be stuck between two areas of precip.

By 11pm tonight the HRRR looks like this:

What you can't really tell here is even when precip does work in to the area, we're going to be in an interesting situation with precip type. Surface temps should definitely be supportive of snow, but a layer aloft may cause some sleet and freezing drizzle to fall. Nothing catastrophic, but an ugly overnight for sure.

I don't think this is a notable first snow at all, but I decided to put together our first snow map of the season anyway:

There's a chance perhaps that the northwest could get as much as an inch, if that northern stream of precip dives just far enough south. It's even possible extreme southeastern Pickaway doesn't see any snow at all, as they may stay a hair above freezing.

While this isn't a measure-worthy event for the area, the timing could cause a slick morning commute.

We'll be looking ahead to a better shot of the wintry stuff later in the week.

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