First Look: Thursday Winter Storm

It's looking more and more like we might have our first legitimate winter storm coming in Wednesday night in to Thursday. I talked about this at the end of my last post, but with each new model run it's looking like this goes from a glancing blow to something a little more serious.

When the Euro starts showing those purple and oranges, that's cause for concern for something a little worse than a few flakes. This could be our first icing of the season, with a setup I can't remember seeing in quite a while. When we see southern lows, usually they ride up the Appalachians or northeast through the Ohio Valley. This one is taking an almost due north track before turning east, which will definitely be a challenge to forecast.

As of now it's the Euro that's a little more aggressive with the cold air in the lower levels, causing it to hint at an icing event. The GFS just wants to push this as an all warm system.

We're about 36 hours out on this thing, so pinpointing when and where would be pretty hard to say, but I think we could have a very messy commute Thursday morning.

Precip will work in to the area late Wednesday night. At this time I think temps will be below freezing, so it's just a matter of what we're working with in the layers of the atmosphere before I can say for sure if it'll be snow, sleet or freezing rain.

I think we may see Advisories posted sometime overnight going in to tomorrow in prep for this system. I'll go in depth tomorrow with my post. Winter begins!