Saturday's Slight Risk of Storms

I'm sure anywhere you've looked the impressive temperature split in Ohio has been talked to death. Yes, it's incredible to see a stationary front give us mid 80s in Cincinnati and upper 40s in Cleveland. But it's not just Ohio. It has the northern third of most of the country locked back in to a late winter feel:

We're going to be looking at that boundry tomorrow for what could be a decent shot at some severe storms across Central Ohio. Points east of us look to have a better shot with an Enhanced Risk:

It's going to be a very narrow area where storms could develop tomorrow. You're dealing with the perfect match of instability and forcing with the front draped across the area, but if you go too far north you're cloaked in clouds and precip which limits instability. Too far south, like near the Ohio River where instability will be high, you're too far away from the best forcing to actually ignite the storms.

That's why Central Ohio looks like the bullseye for the biggest storms tomorrow:

This zone could move 50 miles either way by tomorrow, but as of now I'd say right along I-70 is a good target for the biggest storms. Our main risk should be hail and high winds. This won't be a highly sheared environment so I don't think we will see any sort of tornado outbreak, but I wouldn't rule out a stray twist up.

I think something that hasn't been talked about enough with this setup tomorrow is the prime potential to see storms train over the same area and drop high rainfall totals. Don't be surprised if you see some isolated 2-3" spots by tomorrow night if these storms repeatedly hit the same area.

I doubt I'll be able to LiveBlog tomorrow as I'll be out and about, but follow the Twitter account for instant updates of our situation as storms fire tomorrow.