This storm will be similar in setup to just about every storm we've had this year. It's a southern storm that seems to creep further and further north in to our area with each and every model run. A few days ago no one was even talking about this system as a potential for us because the track took it through Alabama and Georgia. At this point it's modeled to go along the Tennessee/Kentucky border. Don't be surprised if by Saturday morning we're looking at this thing coming in to Northern Kentucky. It's the natural progression of these storms it seems.
All of our ingredients are about to come together on the other side of the county and form a deepening low around Oklahoma:
This more northern progression has also brought interest in New England, as this could finally bring them a Nor'Easter. For us, right now it appears we could see snow for Central Ohio, as long as the track stays the same it does now. How much? That's still yet to be seen. Measurable is how I would describe it at this point.
If the center is over East Tennessee and we're seeing a warm sector all the way in to the West Virginia panhandle, that tells you this is a very warm storm. I don't have high hopes at this point that we stay all snow for the duration here in Central Ohio at this time. We still have three days and it wouldn't be out of the question to see this venture even further north. Any further than it is now and I have more doubts about a big snow event here.
However... if this scenario does play out, we could be in for a decent hit here in Central Ohio. Maybe even the biggest snow of the season for some.
I think if you want big snow you've got to be rooting for an overnight snow. At this point in the season the sun angle is getting high enough and warm enough to eat away at daytime snow totals.
I'll post more the closer we get with any track adjustments and eventually I'll nail down some totals.
No comments:
Post a Comment