Maybe a Sorta White Christmas

It's Christmas Eve and all I'm wondering is if the little bit of snow showers I see in the forecast for tomorrow will be enough to quench the thirst of anyone hoping for a White Christmas. The definition of a White Christmas is 1" or more on the ground Christmas Morning. I'm assuming that means by sunrise. Well, by the book, we will not have a White Christmas this year.

In my post last weekend I was hoping for some kind of system to develop and drop down out of Canada around the Christmas Eve time frame, just based on the overall flow of things after our soaker passed through on Friday. That didn't happen. Instead we're getting a weak disturbance out of the Plains that will bring us a chance of light snow showers tomorrow afternoon:

A clipper-like system would have had a little more juice to it and a reinforcing shot of cold air. This one is coming in flat, so there won't be much forcing to be had, meaning not a great chance of the showers over performing.

That's the key phrase if we want any shot at all of getting snow early Christmas morning: over performing. We would need this disturbance to speed up and intensify. By the time it gets here around noon tomorrow, it will have lost a lot of its moisture as it moves in to cooler, drier air.

If you're rooting for snow on the ground Christmas Morning while you're opening your presents, root for this thing to speed up.

Merry Christmas!